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DTN Midday Grain Comments 01/05 10:57
Corn, Soybean, Wheat Futures All Higher at Midday Monday
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents higher at midday Monday; soybean futures are
14 to 15 cents higher; wheat futures are 2 to 7 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents higher at midday Monday; soybean futures are
14 to 15 cents higher; wheat futures are 2 to 7 cents higher. The U.S. stock
market is sharply higher at midday with the S&P 55 points higher. The U.S.
Dollar Index is flat. The interest rate products are firmer. Energy trade is
mixed with crude up .90 and natural gas is .19 lower. Livestock trade is mostly
higher. Precious metals are sharply higher with gold up 126.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents higher at midday with broad buying across ag
contracts Monday morning and firmer spread action as we extend the bounce off
the lows from Friday. Ethanol margins remain stable with blender margins still
struggling as unleaded remains just off the lows. Weekly export inspections
remain solid at 1.207 million metric tons (mmt), keeping year-to-date pace at
165%. Basis will likely remain steady to start the year. On the March chart,
resistance is the 20-day moving average at $4.44, which we are just below at
midday, with the Lower Bollinger Band at $4.36 as support.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 14 to 15 cents higher at midday with broad product
strength to start the week as we again try to firm off the lower end of the
range and establish some short-covering momentum. Meal is 3.00 to 4.00 higher
and oil is 40 to 50 points higher. South American weather looks to remain
mostly good with the past few days mostly on the drier side. Basis will likely
remain flat to start the year. Weekly export inspections showed a bit of
improvement at 980,518 metric tons (mt) with year-to-date pace at 55%. On the
March chart, resistance is the 20-day moving average at $10.78, with support
the $10.38 fresh low.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 2 to 7 cents higher at midday with trade holding the
bounce off the lower end of the range from the middle of last week with
positive support from row crops. Southern Hemisphere harvest pressure will
continue to ease in the short term. Weather for the Plains looks to warm back
after the cold shot with better moisture expected into midmonth for the eastern
Plains. Matif wheat is a bit lower Monday. Weekly export inspections were soft
at 183,305 mt with year-to-date pace at 121%. On the KC March chart, resistance
is the 20-day moving average at $5.23, which we are testing at midday, with
support the Lower Bollinger Band at $5.05.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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