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DTN Midday Grain Comments 02/12 10:49
Corn, Soybean, Wheat Futures All Higher at Midday Thursday
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents higher at midday Thursday; soybean futures are
12 to 14 cents higher; wheat futures are 4 to 10 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents higher at midday Thursday; soybean futures are
12 to 14 cents higher; wheat futures are 4 to 10 cents higher. The U.S. stock
market is weaker at midday with the S&P 76 points higher. The U.S. Dollar Index
is 10 points higher. The interest rate products are firmer. Energy trade is
mixed with crude off 1.20 and natural gas is .05 higher. Livestock trade is
broadly weaker. Precious metals are sharply lower with gold 152.00 lower.
CORN:
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents higher at midday with trade continuing to hold
just below $4.30 with softer spread action Thursday as we try to follow
soybeans. Ethanol margins are narrowing a little but remain well within the
recent range. Weekly export sales were strong at 2.070 million metric tons
(mmt). Basis will likely remain flat in the short term. New-crop price ratios
continue to shift toward soybeans. On the March chart, support is the 20-day
moving average at $4.27, which is where we closed Wednesday, with resistance
the recent high at $4.34 1/2.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 12 to 14 cents higher at midday with trade testing
$11.40 up front as we see broad product strength and firm spread action. Meal
is 5.00 to 6.00 higher and oil is 50 to 60 points higher. Brazil harvest will
continue to expand with early yields strong and little change for Argentina
weather as rains are expected to pick up into next week. Basis may start
finding a little better support if shipments continue to improve in late
winter. The daily export wire saw 108,000 metric tons of soybeans sold to
Egypt. Weekly export sales were disappointing at 281,800 metric tons of beans;
357,000 of meal; and 2,100 of oil. On the March chart, support is $10.90, where
prior resistance was before the bounce, with the fresh high at $11.41 1/2 as
resistance.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 4 to 10 cents higher at midday with trade creeping back
closer to the recent highs with broad winter wheat strength. Weather for the
Plains looks to stay warmer than normal with better moisture the second half of
the month. Matif wheat is slightly higher as well. Weekly export sales were
solid at 488,000 metric tons. On the KC March chart, support is the 20-day
moving average at $5.34, that we again bounced from, with resistance the recent
high at $5.50.
**
NOTE: Hear DTN Lead Analyst Rhett Montgomery and Ag Meteorologist John
Baranick at the National Farm Machinery Show, Feb. 11-13, in Louisville,
Kentucky. Their daily Weather and Markets Outlook sessions are at 10:00 a.m.
EST, in Room B102, South Wing of the Kentucky Exposition Center. Note, this is
a different room than previous years. You'll also learn about new digital
products DTN is developing. Look forward to seeing you in Louisville!
**
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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